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Red46
910310.2
620019.4
874820.3
Blue45
810519.9
689616.7
716114.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476002040801001204645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8748
#12
20.30.5
19.018.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.7
red by 0.5
8105
#37
19.91.0
19.518.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Second
6200
#40
19.40.5
15.114.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
red by 2.7
6896
#26
16.71.0
18.117.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End6.8
Third
9103
#31
10.20.5
11.210.7
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End4.5
blue by 4.4
7161
#24
14.50.9
16.615.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed