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Red103
689616.7
440043.4
440331.9
Blue69
826613.3
477528.4
595924.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986120408012014016010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.0
40.641.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 14.9
4775
#14
28.40.5
26.927.3
Auto6.7
Teleop15.4
End6.3
Second
4403
#20
31.91.0
30.031.1
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
red by 7.3
24.70.5
23.724.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.3
Third
6896
#26
16.71.4
16.818.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End6.8
red by 3.4
8266
#36
13.30.6
11.512.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed