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Qual 72023 Regional Laguna
Red50
716114.5
440331.9
440122.7
Blue72
352220.1
757731.0
930119.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6165203040507080901005072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#20
31.91.6
29.3→27.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
red by 1.0
7577
#5
31.01.4
17.9→19.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End8.0
Second
4401
#9
22.72.1
17.8→15.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.4
End7.7
red by 2.6
3522
#15
20.11.4
19.8→21.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End6.6
Third
7161
#24
14.52.1
17.0→14.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End4.9
blue by 5.4
9301
#23
19.91.8
19.9→18.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed