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Red101
883310.8
479542.7
58731.8
Blue76
842925.8
90031.8
551119.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898420406010012014016018010176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.3
41.942.2
Auto14.7
Teleop19.4
End8.7
red by 10.9
900
#8
31.80.1
32.532.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End7.7
Second
587
#5
31.80.3
31.031.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End7.1
red by 6.0
8429
#10
25.80.1
26.626.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
8833
#24
10.80.3
10.010.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 8.8
5511
#17
19.60.1
20.420.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.3