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Red104
688823.3
572727.9
600421.8
Blue28
319617.6
929810.4
900511.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6756020408010012010428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#13
27.92.5
26.328.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
red by 10.3
3196
#11
17.63.4
22.919.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Second
6888
#16
23.32.5
19.922.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
red by 12.1
9005
#23
11.33.4
15.712.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Third
21.82.5
15.117.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End7.5
red by 11.5
9298
#26
10.43.4
15.111.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed