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Red51
872714.3
900019.8
153323.4
Blue71
567916.2
58731.8
650218.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7068506080905171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#28
23.41.6
27.425.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End8.8
blue by 8.3
587
#5
31.80.8
24.725.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End7.1
Second
9000
#12
19.81.6
14.713.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End8.1
red by 1.4
6502
#21
18.40.8
20.120.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Third
8727
#25
14.31.6
23.421.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End4.1
blue by 1.9
5679
#18
16.20.8
19.220.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned