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Red55
264226.7
456131.9
58731.8
Blue45
688823.3
672914.3
493523.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915502040801001201401605545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.92.9
26.924.1
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
red by 8.5
6888
#16
23.31.8
20.618.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
Second
587
#5
31.82.9
27.424.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End7.1
red by 8.5
23.21.8
18.216.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
Third
2642
#14
26.72.9
26.723.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End8.0
red by 12.4
6729
#19
14.31.8
17.815.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed