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Red111
789039.0
479542.7
809012.1
Blue81
456131.9
350637.2
900511.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6662020408010012011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.75.0
29.234.2
Auto14.7
Teleop19.4
End8.7
red by 5.5
37.22.5
27.229.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
Second
39.05.0
26.931.9
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End7.8
red by 7.2
31.92.5
26.528.9
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
Third
8090
#22
12.15.0
4.99.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End3.0
red by 0.8
9005
#23
11.32.5
5.27.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned