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Red59
809012.1
350637.2
693210.1
Blue63
456131.9
567916.2
672914.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55551020304050607080905963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.9
29.730.5
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
red by 5.3
31.91.2
28.930.1
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
Second
8090
#22
12.10.9
9.910.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 4.1
5679
#18
16.21.2
16.117.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End6.0
Third
6932
#20
10.10.9
11.712.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 4.2
6729
#19
14.31.2
7.28.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned