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Red77
350637.2
567916.2
90031.8
Blue80
319617.6
456131.9
688823.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807640506070901001101207780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.2
30.530.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
red by 5.3
31.90.3
30.130.4
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
Second
900
#8
31.80.2
27.027.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End7.7
red by 8.5
6888
#16
23.30.3
22.923.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
Third
5679
#18
16.20.2
17.317.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End6.0
blue by 1.4
3196
#11
17.60.3
19.019.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed