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Red70
915019.0
929810.4
456131.9
Blue54
809012.1
872714.3
429028.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65562040801007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
30.430.9
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
red by 3.3
28.50.4
27.426.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End7.4
Second
9150
#15
19.00.5
19.119.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End8.1
red by 4.7
8727
#25
14.30.4
17.016.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Third
9298
#26
10.40.5
10.410.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 1.7
8090
#22
12.10.4
9.18.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed