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Red122
456131.9
493523.2
572727.9
Blue24
900511.3
567916.2
693210.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8332020406010012014012224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.92.5
30.933.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End7.9
red by 15.7
5679
#18
16.21.5
16.715.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End6.0
Second
5727
#13
27.92.5
20.122.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End4.7
red by 16.6
9005
#23
11.31.5
8.46.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Third
23.22.5
20.322.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
red by 13.1
6932
#20
10.11.5
11.39.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed