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Red50
915019.0
809012.1
900511.3
Blue73
872714.3
264226.7
319617.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864020801005073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9150
#15
19.00.8
18.419.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End8.1
blue by 7.7
2642
#14
26.70.9
26.126.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End8.0
Second
8090
#22
12.10.8
11.312.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 5.5
3196
#11
17.60.9
17.318.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Third
9005
#23
11.30.8
9.610.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 3.0
8727
#25
14.30.9
13.114.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsEarned