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Red75
688823.3
429028.5
350637.2
Blue42
600421.8
872714.3
883310.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70622040801007542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.1
24.225.3
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End8.7
red by 15.4
21.82.5
17.615.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End7.5
Second
28.51.1
22.123.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 14.3
8727
#25
14.32.5
25.923.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Third
6888
#16
23.31.1
18.819.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
red by 12.6
8833
#24
10.82.5
15.913.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed