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Qual 102023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red100
322926.7
153343.1
429039.8
Blue73
551836.5
842940.2
776328.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99112608012014016018010073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#20
43.10.4
39.2→39.6
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
red by 2.9
8429
#16
40.22.3
36.9→34.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
Second
4290
#11
39.80.4
36.8→37.2
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 3.4
5518
#32
36.52.3
32.5→30.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Third
3229
#21
26.70.4
18.4→18.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 2.0
7763
#40
28.82.3
33.8→31.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsMissed