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Red102
58749.2
322926.7
842940.2
Blue115
90049.5
479552.4
453427.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112850150200102115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#19
49.20.3
44.945.1
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
blue by 3.2
52.40.8
49.548.7
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
8429
#16
40.20.3
34.634.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
blue by 9.4
900
#5
49.50.8
41.040.2
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
Third
3229
#21
26.70.3
18.819.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 0.8
4534
#23
27.60.8
26.425.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed