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Red126
264250.9
350647.7
875723.7
Blue130
153343.1
482826.9
519040.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11892406080100140160180126130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.6
46.046.6
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 7.8
1533
#20
43.12.7
40.443.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Second
47.70.6
41.341.8
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
red by 6.8
40.92.7
32.635.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
Third
8757
#30
23.70.6
20.220.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 3.2
4828
#18
26.92.7
16.619.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed