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Red122
872735.4
319624.0
873833.1
Blue88
493531.4
900822.6
322926.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838005010015020025012288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#12
35.42.6
28.130.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4
red by 4.0
4935
#17
31.40.8
32.733.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End5.8
Second
8738
#14
33.12.6
26.228.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End5.9
red by 6.4
3229
#21
26.70.8
20.120.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Third
3196
#39
24.02.6
23.626.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 1.4
9008
#37
22.60.8
22.923.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed