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Qual 392023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red121
789061.6
493531.4
915019.2
Blue111
551123.0
519040.9
842940.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122100406080140160180121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#1
61.60.2
59.8→59.6
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 20.7
5190
#9
40.90.9
36.1→37.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
Second
4935
#17
31.40.2
33.5→33.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End5.8
blue by 8.8
8429
#16
40.20.9
37.7→38.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End8.9
Third
9150
#26
19.20.2
18.5→18.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 3.8
5511
#33
23.00.9
23.1→24.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned