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Red75
58749.2
456147.3
264024.0
Blue120
264250.9
925918.5
429039.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128109608010012014016018075120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#19
49.23.2
46.243.0
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
blue by 1.6
50.90.7
49.850.4
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
47.33.2
49.346.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
red by 7.5
4290
#11
39.80.7
38.339.0
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Third
2640
#38
24.03.2
22.519.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End5.1
red by 5.5
9259
#36
18.50.7
16.917.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned