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Red113
90049.5
915019.2
58749.2
Blue122
900527.0
572751.2
493531.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106976080120140113122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
49.51.0
38.839.8
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
blue by 1.7
51.22.0
45.447.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
Second
587
#19
49.21.0
43.944.9
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 17.9
4935
#17
31.42.0
27.629.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End5.8
Third
9150
#26
19.21.0
15.616.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 7.8
9005
#27
27.02.0
18.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed