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Red148
453427.6
572751.2
872735.4
Blue126
205940.9
744327.2
153343.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131186080100140160180148126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.8
47.949.7
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End8.2
red by 8.1
1533
#20
43.10.2
43.643.8
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Second
8727
#12
35.41.8
33.034.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End6.4
blue by 5.5
2059
#13
40.90.2
40.640.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Third
4534
#23
27.61.8
25.427.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End5.1
red by 0.3
7443
#29
27.20.2
26.226.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed