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Red127
900822.6
560738.1
90049.5
Blue100
551836.5
482931.9
875723.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11891406080100140160180127100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
49.50.2
47.848.0
Auto15.4
Teleop25.6
End8.1
red by 13.1
5518
#32
36.50.4
34.534.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Second
38.10.2
37.337.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.2
End8.4
red by 6.3
4829
#24
31.90.4
30.831.2
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End8.9
Third
9008
#37
22.60.2
22.522.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End5.6
blue by 1.1
8757
#30
23.70.4
23.323.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned