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Red140
58749.2
789061.6
322926.7
Blue118
600430.0
350647.7
479552.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141141110120130150160170180140118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.1
61.161.2
Auto17.1
Teleop34.2
End9.3
red by 9.2
52.40.3
53.353.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
587
#19
49.20.1
48.848.8
Auto13.9
Teleop29.2
End5.7
red by 1.6
47.70.3
48.648.3
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Third
3229
#21
26.70.1
26.326.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 3.3
6004
#28
30.00.3
30.930.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End8.6