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Red60
900824.6
205925.9
925917.7
Blue75
43518.5
482921.1
767122.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75632040801001206075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
26.225.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End10.2
red by 3.9
22.00.4
21.722.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End5.8
Second
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End5.5
red by 3.5
4829
#11
21.10.4
20.721.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End8.5
Third
9259
#16
17.70.2
17.817.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End7.3
blue by 0.9
435
#21
18.50.3
18.218.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End5.5