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Red54
519023.2
382210.6
830410.3
Blue50
322916.9
650017.2
264015.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414602060801005450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#14
23.21.6
18.119.8
Auto3.2
Teleop13.0
End7.0
red by 6.0
6500
#17
17.20.3
13.914.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End6.4
Second
3822
#22
10.61.6
12.213.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End3.9
blue by 6.3
3229
#12
16.90.3
11.912.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End5.3
Third
8304
#18
10.31.6
9.110.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 5.1
2640
#13
15.40.3
16.616.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed