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Red45
322916.9
382210.6
767122.0
Blue82
744319.0
345912.9
925917.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648102030406070804582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
17.216.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End5.8
red by 3.0
19.00.3
16.215.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Second
3229
#12
16.90.9
13.913.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End5.3
blue by 0.8
9259
#16
17.70.3
13.413.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End7.3
Third
3822
#22
10.60.9
12.311.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End3.9
blue by 2.3
3459
#24
12.90.3
15.014.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsMissed