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Red65
373715.2
519023.2
900824.6
Blue75
333617.9
873817.2
205925.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636140801006575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
22.723.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End5.5
blue by 1.3
25.91.1
22.623.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End10.2
Second
5190
#14
23.20.5
21.522.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.0
End7.0
red by 5.3
17.91.1
17.818.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.3
Third
3737
#26
15.20.6
14.815.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End6.7
blue by 2.0
17.21.0
17.418.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned