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Red40
264015.4
322916.9
373715.2
Blue39
551819.4
481615.9
482810.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50503540455560654039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#12
16.90.3
16.816.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End5.3
blue by 2.5
19.40.3
19.719.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Second
2640
#13
15.40.3
15.315.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End5.3
blue by 0.5
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto8.3
Teleop3.5
End4.1
Third
3737
#26
15.20.3
15.114.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End6.7
red by 4.5
4828
#29
10.70.4
11.110.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End4.4