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Red114
919814.2
572745.4
350639.6
Blue121
429036.6
621412.0
153339.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10889406080100120140160114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.2
45.245.4
Auto13.9
Teleop24.5
End7.1
red by 6.0
39.40.7
38.739.4
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
Second
39.60.2
39.439.6
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 3.0
36.60.7
35.936.6
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
Third
9198
#14
14.20.2
14.014.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End5.2
red by 2.2
6214
#23
12.00.7
11.412.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End5.3