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Red104
345923.1
493527.4
482929.8
Blue48
830420.4
929613.3
693219.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66390208010012014010448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#10
29.82.7
20.122.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
red by 9.4
8304
#12
20.40.5
10.811.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
Second
27.42.7
22.224.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.5
End7.4
red by 8.2
19.20.5
10.210.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.3
Third
23.12.7
16.018.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End7.0
red by 9.8
9296
#26
13.30.9
18.919.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned9%Activation oddsMissed