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Red50
663912.7
429036.6
929713.4
Blue22
12259.4
72706.5
929814.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801005022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.0
29.129.1
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
red by 22.3
9298
#15
14.31.0
12.511.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Second
9297
#20
13.40.1
10.710.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End6.0
red by 4.0
1225
#19
9.41.0
6.55.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End4.0
Third
6639
#24
12.70.0
9.89.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4
red by 6.2
7270
#27DQ
6.51.7
13.511.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed