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Red80
929814.3
482929.8
663912.7
Blue86
429036.6
830420.4
919814.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4560020801001208086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#10
29.81.7
22.824.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
blue by 6.8
36.62.1
29.131.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
Second
9298
#15
14.31.7
11.513.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 6.1
8304
#12
20.42.1
11.413.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
Third
6639
#24
12.71.7
9.811.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4
blue by 1.6
9198
#14
14.23.5
14.317.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsEarned