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Red78
830420.4
900518.7
567914.6
Blue79
153339.4
915015.6
883315.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4166020801001201407879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8304
#12
20.41.7
14.316.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
blue by 19.0
39.41.0
31.632.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
Second
9005
#18
18.71.7
13.114.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
red by 3.1
9150
#13
15.61.0
12.313.3
Auto6.6
Teleop2.3
End6.7
Third
5679
#17
14.61.7
14.416.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End6.3
blue by 0.6
8833
#22
15.21.0
14.615.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned