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Red78
493527.4
830420.4
153339.4
Blue74
350639.6
803021.2
883315.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79840501001502002507874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.2
32.632.8
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
blue by 0.2
39.61.6
40.739.1
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
27.40.2
26.326.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.5
End7.4
red by 6.2
8030
#16
21.22.5
21.619.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
8304
#12
20.40.2
16.116.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
red by 5.2
8833
#22
15.21.6
15.614.0
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned