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Red59
919814.2
429036.6
689420.9
Blue91
319625.6
621412.0
900518.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7346020601001201405991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.8
32.932.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
red by 11.0
25.61.3
20.722.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Second
6894
#21
20.91.2
17.216.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End6.9
red by 2.1
9005
#18
18.71.3
14.816.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
Third
9198
#14
14.21.2
15.114.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End5.2
red by 2.2
6214
#23
12.02.1
10.712.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed