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Red31
689420.9
929613.3
12259.4
Blue117
900518.7
919814.2
153339.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3969020608010012031117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6894
#21
20.90.8
18.317.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End6.9
blue by 18.5
39.41.8
31.533.4
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
Second
9296
#26
13.30.8
14.914.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 5.4
9005
#18
18.71.8
15.717.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End6.9
Third
1225
#19
9.40.6
7.26.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End4.0
blue by 4.8
9198
#14
14.22.4
13.415.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned