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Red52
803021.2
929613.3
567914.6
Blue89
482929.8
319625.6
72706.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50612040801005289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8030
#16
21.20.1
20.420.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
blue by 8.6
4829
#10
29.81.2
26.627.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
Second
5679
#17
14.60.1
14.914.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End6.3
blue by 11.0
25.61.2
24.425.6
Auto8.7
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Third
9296
#26
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End5.9
red by 6.9
7270
#27
6.51.3
5.26.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed