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Red121
919814.2
572745.4
350639.6
Blue91
482929.8
872729.7
929713.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109682040608010012014016012191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
44.745.0
Auto13.9
Teleop24.5
End7.1
red by 15.6
4829
#10
29.80.5
28.529.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
Second
39.60.3
38.839.2
Auto14.2
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 10.0
29.70.5
28.428.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
9198
#14
14.20.3
13.513.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End5.2
red by 0.8
9297
#20
13.40.5
12.212.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End6.0