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Red111
929713.4
872729.7
482929.8
Blue116
429036.6
65129.5
153339.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73890204060100120140160111116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#10
29.80.8
29.029.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
blue by 9.6
39.40.4
37.638.1
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
Second
29.70.8
28.929.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.9
blue by 6.9
36.60.4
34.835.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
Third
9297
#20
13.40.8
12.613.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End6.0
red by 4.0
6512
#25
9.50.4
9.09.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.7