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Red77
929814.3
319625.6
493527.4
Blue67
663912.7
803021.2
345923.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7455020401001201407767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.5
End7.4
red by 4.2
23.10.2
22.222.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End7.0
Second
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto8.7
Teleop11.3
End5.6
red by 4.4
8030
#16
21.20.2
20.220.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
9298
#15
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
red by 1.7
6639
#24
12.70.2
11.711.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4