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Red65
830420.4
915015.6
567914.6
Blue75
663912.7
803021.2
345923.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525902040801006575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8304
#12
20.40.3
20.120.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
blue by 2.7
23.10.2
22.322.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End7.0
Second
9150
#13
15.60.3
15.215.6
Auto6.6
Teleop2.3
End6.7
blue by 5.6
8030
#16
21.20.2
20.420.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
5679
#17
14.60.3
14.214.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End6.3
red by 1.9
6639
#24
12.70.2
11.912.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.4