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Red81
153339.4
65129.5
429036.6
Blue90
482929.8
872729.7
929713.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86702040601001201408190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.0
36.736.7
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End10.0
red by 9.6
4829
#10
29.80.5
28.028.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End7.6
Second
36.60.0
33.933.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.2
End6.7
red by 6.9
29.70.5
27.928.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
6512
#25
9.50.0
8.28.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 4.0
9297
#20
13.40.5
11.712.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End6.0