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Red43
929612.7
624014.5
919818.1
Blue69
744325.5
481621.3
382210.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47462030405060704369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9198
#17
18.10.2
14.214.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End7.2
blue by 7.4
25.50.1
19.018.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Second
6240
#24
14.50.2
13.713.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.5
blue by 6.8
4816
#13
21.30.1
15.915.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Third
9296
#27
12.70.2
13.313.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End4.7
red by 2.0
3822
#20
10.80.1
10.610.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsEarned