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Red65
672924.2
771517.8
689423.8
Blue54
333617.2
560727.8
322919.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040806554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.1
15.616.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End8.0
blue by 3.5
27.80.0
16.716.7
Auto10.1
Teleop9.8
End7.9
Second
6894
#10
23.81.1
18.619.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End7.0
red by 4.8
3229
#23
19.10.0
18.618.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.8
Third
7715
#14
17.81.1
14.415.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.0
End7.1
red by 0.6
3336
#25
17.20.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed