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Red83
672924.2
551831.5
264024.1
Blue66
919818.1
519029.8
621418.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615502040801001201401608366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.8
23.124.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End9.3
red by 1.7
29.80.9
25.326.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.9
Second
24.21.8
17.719.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End8.0
red by 5.8
6214
#22
18.50.9
14.315.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End7.7
Third
2640
#18
24.11.8
15.317.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0
red by 6.0
9198
#17
18.10.9
12.613.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsEarned