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Red68
776333.5
482814.3
382210.8
Blue44
373719.2
904212.3
481621.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801001201401606844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.4
30.331.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End7.3
red by 12.2
4816
#13
21.30.2
14.914.7
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Second
4828
#26
14.31.4
5.57.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End5.0
blue by 5.0
3737
#11
19.20.2
15.615.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End7.3
Third
3822
#20
10.81.4
10.812.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 1.5
9042
#28
12.30.2
11.911.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed