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Red61
903219.4
43519.5
621418.5
Blue102
560727.8
873824.8
551831.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527302040608010012014061102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#19
19.50.6
17.818.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End5.0
blue by 12.0
31.52.1
24.326.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End9.3
Second
9032
#16
19.40.6
17.818.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.7
blue by 8.4
27.82.1
19.221.2
Auto10.1
Teleop9.8
End7.9
Third
6214
#22
18.50.6
16.216.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End7.7
blue by 6.4
8738
#21
24.82.1
22.424.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned