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Red129
482814.3
744325.5
264244.3
Blue56
904212.3
621418.5
689423.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8153010015012956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.33.1
40.143.2
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.8
red by 20.5
6894
#10
23.80.1
21.921.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End7.0
Second
25.53.1
21.624.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End8.1
red by 7.1
6214
#22
18.50.1
19.619.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End7.7
Third
4828
#26
14.33.1
10.813.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End5.0
red by 2.0
9042
#28
12.30.1
11.611.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned