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Red33
322919.1
382210.8
873824.8
Blue119
672924.2
929718.6
519029.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57740204010012014033119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#21
24.81.5
23.121.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End3.6
blue by 5.0
29.81.8
27.229.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.9
Second
3229
#23
19.11.5
20.318.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.8
blue by 5.2
24.21.8
22.724.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End8.0
Third
3822
#20
10.81.5
12.110.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 7.8
9297
#15
18.61.8
17.219.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned